The political landscape within the All Progressives Congress (APC) in Borno State is increasingly marked by internal discord, strategic uncertainty, and rising concerns over its electoral strength ahead of future contests. What was once a relatively cohesive political structure now appears strained by competing interests, unresolved leadership tussles, and a widening gap between key stakeholders.
This evolving scenario raises a critical question: Is the Borno APC inadvertently creating opportunities for the opposition?
Opposition Gaining Ground Amid APC Disunity
There is growing concern among party loyalists and observers that the APC’s internal divisions may weaken its long-standing dominance in Borno State.
The inability to present a united front, particularly in the selection of candidates, has fueled speculation that opposition parties could capitalize on the cracks within the ruling party. While APC still maintains a strong grassroots presence, internal disagreements threaten to erode voter confidence and party cohesion.
Absence of a Consensus Candidate Among Key Power Brokers
At the heart of the crisis lies the lack of agreement between two dominant political figures in the state, the Vice President and the incumbent Governor.
Both camps have reportedly failed to align on a consensus candidate, leading to a prolonged stalemate. This disagreement has not only delayed decision-making but has also deepened factional loyalties within the party.
Clashing Interests Over Candidate Selection
Insiders reveal that the Vice President’s camp initially supported Barrister Kaka Shehu as a preferred candidate, while the Governor’s camp pushed forward names such as Gubio, Bababe, Wakilbe, and Mallumbe. However, none of these candidates gained universal acceptance across party lines, further complicating the selection process.
Elders’ Intervention and the Emergence of Sen Habu Kyari
In a bid to restore order and stability, Borno elders reportedly intervened, advocating for a more experienced and elderly candidate. This move led to the emergence of Habu Kyari as a compromise figure. While this decision temporarily eased tensions, it did not fully resolve the underlying disagreements between the major factions.
MT Monguno Gains Wider Acceptance
Following the rejection of multiple candidates proposed by the Governor’s camp, sources indicate that a new name Barr MT Monguno was presented and received broader acceptance among party stakeholders. This development suggested a possible shift toward consensus, although it remains uncertain whether this acceptance will translate into lasting unity.
Rise of Neutral and Loyalist Candidates
Amid the intensifying power struggle, political observers are increasingly highlighting the emergence of neutral figures who are not firmly aligned with either faction.
Name such as Babakaka Bashir Garbai, alongside key loyalists including Engr. Satomi Ahmad, Adamu Lawan Zaufanjinba (aligned with the Vice President), and Engr. Talba and Hon. Abubakar Tijjani (associated with the Governor), are being mentioned as possible consensus candidates capable of bridging the divide. Their perceived neutrality and loyalty may appeal to party stakeholders seeking stability, unity, and a more inclusive approach.
Ali Modu Sheriff’s Re-entry into the Political Scene
The deepening rift between the two major power blocs has reportedly created an opening for former political heavyweight Ali Modu Sheriff to reassert his influence.
Once considered sidelined in Borno’s political cycle, Sheriff’s renewed involvement underscores the extent of the internal crisis and highlights the vacuum created by the lack of unified leadership.
Potential Fallout and Electoral Risks
The consequences of this division could be far-reaching. Reports from party insiders indicate a growing sense of frustration among APC members, with some openly stating that they may not support the party if their preferred candidate does not emerge. This threat of anti-party voting poses a significant risk, as it could fragment the party’s traditional support base and weaken its electoral chances.
If not urgently addressed, these divisions could significantly undermine APC’s electoral strength and open the door for opposition parties to make unexpected gains. Moving forward, the party’s ability to prioritize unity, inclusiveness, and strategic compromise will determine whether it retains its dominance or cedes ground in an increasingly competitive political environment.