The battle for the All Progressives Congress (APC) gubernatorial ticket in Borno State has entered a critical phase, with political maneuvering reaching fever pitch just hours before the official commencement of nomination form sales. What initially appeared to be a predictable contest has evolved into a complex web of alliances, last-minute negotiations, and competing power blocs within the party.
At the center of the race are several high-profile aspirants, including Habu Kyari, Kaka Shehu Lawan, Mohammed Tahir Monguno, Babakaka Garbai, Babagana Mallumbe, Engr Wakilbe, Mustapha Gubio, Engr Bababe, and Babakura Mamman Gadai. The wide field reflects both the strategic importance of Borno State and the internal contest for influence within the APC ahead of the 2027 general elections.
Power Blocs and Alignments
Insider accounts suggest that Kaka Shehu Lawan enjoys the backing of Vice President Kashim Shettima, a development that has significantly boosted his standing among certain party stakeholders. However, this support appears to have fully translated into grassroots momentum, particularly among youth groups, many of whom are reportedly aligned firmly with his candidacy.
In contrast, Borno State Governor Babagana Zulum is believed to be rallying support for candidates within his inner circle, notably Mustapha Gubio, Engr Wakilbe and Babagana Mallumbe. This divergence underscores a growing split between key power centers in the state’s APC structure.
Mallumbe’s Entry and Historical Echoes
Babagana Mallumbe is expected to pick up his nomination form imminently, a move that some political observers interpret as a strategic signal. Analysts have drawn parallels with the 2019 governorship race, when Babagana Zulum was among the early aspirants to obtain forms before eventually emerging as the party’s consensus candidate.
Within the governor’s camp, at least four aspirants are reportedly preparing to follow suit, further consolidating his influence over the process.
Stalemate at the Top
Efforts to harmonize interests between the Vice President and the Governor appear to have stalled. A high-level engagement between both camps reportedly ended without a breakthrough, leaving the contest wide open and heightening uncertainty within party ranks.
Emerging Consensus Moves
In a new twist, influential Borno elders, concerned about the lack of a unifying candidate are said to be coalescing around Habu Kyari as a potential compromise option. Sources indicate that consultations have advanced significantly, including a reported meeting with President Bola Ahmed Tinubu, where the possibility of rallying support for Kyari was discussed.
Outlook
With the sale of nomination forms set to begin, the coming days are expected to be decisive. The interplay between institutional backing, grassroots appeal, and elite consensus will ultimately shape the APC’s choice in Borno State. As tensions persist and alignments shift, the race remains fluid, with no clear frontrunner yet firmly established.